Blog

Short blog posts, journal entries, and random thoughts. Topics include a mix of personal and the world at large.

Here comes the pain

With the economy practically coming to a stand-still for the better part of three months, we know there will be plenty of consequences. Some are more immediate, like the overwhelmed hospitals in New York, and some are more laggard indicators. One such item is how States will deal with the enormous budget shortfall stemming from the coronavirus stoppages. Unlike the federal government, States have a mandate to balance their budgets; therefore should revenue come up short, the expense side of the equation must acquiesce.

Today in California, our governor announced a revised budget for the coming fiscal year, accounting for the utter financial damage COVID-19 has wrought on the economy. Cuts are happening, and of consequence to me is the funding for the CSU system. Within the new calculations is a 10-percent cut to the general fund for the public university system, which represents a significant chunk of the overall CSU budget. How that will materially affect campus operations - and my very own employment prospects at San Francisco State - remains to be seen, though I would not be surprised if temporary cuts to salaries - in the form of furlough days - is going to be a thing.

Because the biggest expense is labor, of course, and with news that California will be asking State employees to take a 10-percent pay-cut, I don’t see how workers at the CSU would be spared from the trimming. Furloughs happened after the great financial crash of 2008, so it’s very likely to happen again for this current crisis. A modest decrease in salary is magnitudes better than flat-out losing employment, something over 18-million Americans have had to face with in just the past month. We should consider ourselves lucky if the worse of this is only slightly less money coming into the bank account each month.

From a different perspective, a 10-percent salary cut is roughly equal to the amount of raises CSUEU members (the employees union I belong to) received in the past four years combined. We would simply be back to our 2016 pay levels, which doesn’t seem so bad. For sure it will hurt - I don’t exempt myself from those feelings - but it could be worse: have a look at the scores fo tech workers who got laid off from UBER and AirBnb just last week.

Much like the coronavirus, the economic pain stemming from it is a shared burden by us all.

CSU moves Fall classes to virtual

The California State University system made the announcement yesterday the coming Fall 2020 semester will remain remote at all of its campuses. The news comes as a bit of a surprise: not in that classes will still be online in the Fall, but rather the powers at be at the CSU made the decision so relatively early. We are not even done with the Spring 2020 semester yet, and much like everyone else, we’re keenly waiting on what’s going to happen after this initial shelter-in-place order expires at the end of May. Instead of keeping those concerned in continued limbo, the CSU have made the choice and set the direction for the rest of the year.

Amongst the concerned includes me, who works at the San Francisco State campus. With this weirdest Spring semester ever winding down to a close, we’ve all been wondering what exactly is going to happen for Fall; will instruction continue to be virtual, or will the coronavirus situation abate enough for everyone to come back together on campus? Opinions are divided, for sure: some have really enjoyed the working-from-home experience, while others prefer the direct interaction and collaboration that only the physical workplace can provide. I’m firmly in both camps, paradoxically.

And I’m sure opinions will be split amongst students as well. A subset of whom will probably be griping about paying full-price tuition and only getting in a return a truncated college experience. That’s going to be a real problem at expensive private institutions, should they elect to keep their respective Fall semester online as well. At the CSU system, tuition - for students residing within California - is relatively cheap; coupled with grants and financial aid that many students are eligible for, the system remains in a good position. Furthermore, these student no longer have to pay for room and board, which here in San Francisco is far from cheap.

Nevertheless, with yesterday’s announcement our questions about Fall have been answered, and we now know the job that must be done in order to facilitate the continuation of remote learning for the rest of the year. Two months ago I’d never would have figured things will turn out like this, and in some ways, this CSU news is a confirmation the affects of COVID-19 will continue to remain with us for many more months to come.

Vettel will leave Ferrari

The 2020 Formula One season has yet to turn a single wheel in anger - thanks to the coronavirus - and we are already knee-deep in the ‘silly season’. Yesterday the bombshell dropped that four-time World Champion Sebastian Vettel will not renew his contract with Ferrari after the 2020 season; today, the official Scuderia Ferrari twitter account confirmed the news. Lots of cliches can be thrown around, but indeed it marks the end of an era at the famous Italian team, with Ferrari firmly placing their future hopes and aspirations on young Charles LeClerc.

Such is the cruel fate of the sporting world: the young upstart replacing the aged veteran, no matter how many trophies rest on the mantle of the latter.

If Vettel fails to capture the world title this season, it will mark his tenure with Ferrari as somewhat of a disappointment. So much fanfare was made when he made the jump to the Scuderia from Red Bull, bringing with him four consecutive driver championships, and the legacy of one Michael Schumacher, Vettel’s racing idol, whose success with the Maranello squad is stuff of legends. With just over a dozen victories and zero championships in the past four years, the promise brought on by Vettel’s arrival in Italy has yet to be fulfilled.

For sure, the utter dominance of team Mercedes during this current turbo-hybrid era means that the promise of many other drivers and teams throughout the grid were for naught as well. However, Ferrari produced a competitive car in the 2017 and 2018 seasons, but Vettel simply could not deliver. This older Vettel have shown a vulnerability in not reacting well to pressure, famously crashing into wall at the 2018 German Grand Prix, the turning point of his championship battle with Lewis Hamilton. Unlike the young phenom that won four titles with Red Bull, we did not see the same fight in recent seasons from Vettel.

And now his seat at the Scuderia will be vacant after the 2020 season; the drivers musical chairs have begun in earnest. Who will be lucky person to step into such a hallowed seat? Will it be Lewis Hamilton, whose own contract with Mercedes is expiring at the end of the year as well. At which team will Vettel land? A prodigal return to the Red Bull team, perhaps? If Bernie was still in charge of F1, I’d bet he would engineer a move for Vettel to team with Hamilton at Mercedes - it will elevate interest and ratings of F1 instantly, something direly needed right now with the sport suffering from the shutdown affects of COVID-19.

What will I do

One thing to think about while we are all effectively locked inside our homes is what our lives will look like once we are no longer restricted to our residences. For sure, by that time the coronavirus situation will still be far form over, but at the very least, the many activities we are used to doing before the virus outbreak is going to be available to us again. The question is, then: will we go back to them enthusiastically?

Let’s say the local comedy club reopens: are you going to go? Will you risk being in a room with over a hundred strangers sharing the same air in a tightly packed space? What about concerts? Plays? Theatre? I personally won’t be patronizing those sort of entertainment venues anytime soon, even with the so-called social distancing protocols in affect. Is the inside of an airplane any safer with all of the middle seats unoccupied? It sure doesn’t appear to be.

The more intrepid of us will of course have no qualms about going back out to places and being amongst the crowd as soon as the authorities would allow it. It’s not because these type of people want to die, but rather they believe they are immune to the disease, that they’re healthy enough and well enough that COVID-19 would be ineffective towards them. It’s the same mental power that compels a solider to charge into battle: they seriously do not believe they will be the ones to die. These people know and understand the danger, but think themselves lucky they won’t catch the virus under any circumstances.

I definitely do not have that line of thinking; even after the shelter-in-place order is over, I’ll still be extra cautious about going outside and doing various activities. One thing I really do miss however is seeing my friends in person, and sharing a lovely meal at a restaurant. If there’s one thing I’m eagerly waiting to do again, it’s dining out with the people I care out.

We’ve got 2/3rds of a month to go, as of this writing. God speed.

Might I recommend some reading during this time of quarantine.

Team no rush

One of the best parts about working from home is that I get to set my own pace. When the user I am supporting is not directly in front of me but rather many miles away across the Internet, there is no practical need to rush. Even for issues as urgent as not being able to connect to the campus servers, I am still able to take a moment to make sure I’ve got everything prepared and considered before communicating back to the customer.

I think this deliberate slowing down definitely helps to decrease my stress levels. While I am generally quick on my feet, the details often get lost when I am rushing into a solution or conclusion. When I get some time to parse things through, the approach to a problem becomes more holistic, and the chances of missing something that should have been immediately apparent is lessened. Face-to-face interactions with users - before this whole COVID-19 mess - sometimes don’t allow for such freedom, and I slide towards being more stressed about not being able to come up with an answer than whether the answer is the right one.

This is why I hate playing games with friends that require quick thinking and has a time limit.

Working from home gives me time to think, and I have to say it’s something I am going to miss once we are allowed back on campus. I think a good lesson to carryover from this experience is to try not be in a rush, even if circumstances perhaps won’t grant such leisure. The endgame is to provide excellent support, so taking a bit to time to get it right is worth the initial indignation from a customer that I’ve taken too long.

It’s certainly something to keep in mind.

They could’ve have gone modern, yet they made it traditional.

Bad news good news

It’s been a tough few days for the tech world: yesterday, AirBnb announced it’s cutting a massive 25% of its workforce, and today, UBER said it will be eliminating over 3,700 positions. It appears the tech sector won’t be immune to the job crunch caused by the coronavirus, especially if the business relies on people being out and about, and traveling to places. It's tough seeing other people lose their jobs, because it seeps in some doubt and anxiety about my own job security. You think you’ll safely weather through this and then suddenly, you get release papers; surely, many at AirBnb and UBER got such a shock.

The personnel cuts at these two companies have direct consequence to where I live, because both are headquartered here in San Francisco. This many high-paying jobs disappearing means people will leave, and that should cause downward pressure on rental prices, if classic supply and demand is to be followed. Not to be a shark smelling blood in the waters about this - you’d hope to be empathetic during these times - but that would be excellent news for me. If I’m lucky enough to still have employment out of this lockdown, I plan to finally move out of the house.

Talk about good timing.

The cost of rent in the San Francisco Bay Area is notoriously one of the highest in the nation, and before COVID-19 happened, there was no end in sight to those absurd prices because the city/region is super slow to build new housing to meet demand. The standard one-bedroom apartment costs nearly as much as my entire take-home pay, which is just insane because I make a solidly middle-class income. Those of us outside of the tech sector have somewhat low-key wished for a recession so that these people would move away from the area, and rent would go back down to slightly more affordable.

Again, the assumption is that I myself doesn’t get swept along with those job losses during the imagined recession. Well, the downturn is very real right now, and I’m lucky to still be afloat above the waters. Fingers crossed that continues.

Early evening grocery shopping in Guangzhou.

The Macbook Pro got refreshed?!

Such is the state of the current situation that yesterday Apple released an update to the 13-inch Macbook Pro and I didn’t find out about it until this morning. Without the ability to gather into fancy auditoriums to launch products - replete with a live video of course, these silent releases from Apple get lost with all the other more pressing news that’s going on right now. Maybe this isn’t the time to get excited about a refreshed laptop when a fifth of the country is unemployed, and the economic outlook is massively uncertain.

Personally, I am not looking to spend money on anything that isn’t essential. This is not meant as criticism towards those of you who are lucky to still be employed, and the dreariness of being stuck at home every single day is best interrupted by a few joyful online shopping sessions. I’ve heard from a podcast that distributors of aftermarket automotive parts are having their best month, because the bored enthusiasts with money are finally getting around to their respective car projects.

If only I had a garage.

Anyways, the newly updated 13-inch Macbook Pro signals the final phase-out of the much-maligned ‘butterfly’ keyboard. Every single new laptop Apple now sells has the revised ‘scissor’ keyboard mechanism that promises to not commit seppuku at the first hint of a bread crumb. As an owner of a 2019 15-inch Macbook Pro, I have to say I dearly love the typing feel of the butterfly mechanism, though indeed I have to clean the deck religiously because I don’t want it to fail. Like an Italian sports car, when it works, it performs beautifully, but more often than not it’s going to be in the shop for repairs.

But car enthusiasts love Italian sports cars; I’m pretty sure I’m the only one who loves the butterfly keyboard - its terrible reliability be damned, and am sad to see it sunset into the annals of Apple’s audacious failures. I’m certainly going to enjoy typing on my Apple laptop for many more years to come; now is not the time to upgrade to the latest and greatest simply because I have the money.